afl.com.au's Ben Guthrie has summoned the calculator and nutted out all the different finals permutations as Collingwood prepares for its final home and away match against Essendon.

5. Collingwood
60 points (15 wins, six losses) 115.31 per cent
 
Round 23
Essendon at the MCG

The Pies looked flat against the Eagles on Saturday night and the loss leaves them hoping West Coast loses next week. Their twin towers in Travis Cloke and Chris Dawes are off the boil and ruckman Darren Jolly's absence is a worry so close to September.

Will finish fourth if:
    •    They beat Essendon AND the Hawks beat the Eagles

Will finish fifth if:
    •    They win AND the Eagles beat the Hawks
    •    They lose AND the Swans beat Geelong

Other scenarios
    •    The Pies will slide to sixth if they lose to Essendon AND Geelong wins

Ben's crystal ball final: Hawthorn v Collingwood, qualifying final, MCG

The other finals permutations can be found here.